[Info-vax] COVID-19

[Jan-Erik Söderholm]

Den 2020-12-14 kl. 14:27, skrev Simon Clubley:
> On 2020-12-13, Jan-Erik Söderholm <jan-erik.soderholm at telia.com> wrote:
>> Den 2020-12-13 kl. 23:38, skrev Stephen Hoffman:
>>> On 2020-12-13 20:44:55 +0000, Jan-Erik Søderholm said:
>>>
>>>> But the "infected" numbers are very hard to value since they are very
>>>> much depending on the volume of testing done.
>>>
>>> More tests does not mean more cases.
>>
>> It does, in absolute numbers. Such as all public statistics are setup.
>>
> 
> The one measure which cannot be disputed is the current death rate
> compared to the typical death rate. How does the excess death rate
> for Sweden compare to other countries ?

On a yearly basis the numbers from Sweden are mostly in line
line with previous years. There have been earlier flu's that
have caused higher excess death rates several time during the
last decades.

Part of the answer is the lower death rate in the normal yearly
flu this year. Many of the "covid deaths" would just have been in
some other column in the death statistiscs such as "natural causes".
So looking at only the covid19 numbers might give a false picture
over the total situation.

Some has also noted that 2019 was a light flu season, and part of
this years deaths had been in last years statistics, if 2019 had
been a "normal" flu year.

So, the net sum of it all, is that it is very hard to say anything
firm about the outcome so far. Future research might give better data.

> 
> Is there anyone here from Norway (which is next door to Sweden) ?
> 

Norway and Finland (and to some degree Denmark) has lower numbers
of Covid19 deaths. We are more inline with europe in general.

> Perhaps comparing the two might be more accurate ?
> 
> What are the number of cases in Norway compared to Sweden ?

Much lower. Some analyses I have said points to differences in how the
elderer care are organised. Future research might give better answers.

> 
> Are they concentrated in the major population centres such as Oslo
> and Bergen or are they spread across the country (after adjusting
> for population density) ?
> 

I'm sure there are public statistics in Norway that answers that...


> Simon.
>