[Info-vax] [OT follow-up] Hurricane Sandy and hurricane frequency over time

[AEF]

On Wednesday, October 30, 2013 7:22:58 AM UTC-4, Bill Gunshannon wrote:
> In article <c8330b60-473a-4b06-a1fd-468cf17bfcaf at googlegroups.com>,
> 
> 	AEF <spamsink2001 at yahoo.com> writes:
> 
> > I can't find the original thread, but perhaps starting a new one is better.
> 
> > 
> 
> > Way back some of you (JF, at least) said we were to have annual big hurricanes 
> 
> > like Irene and Sandy on the East Coast. Well, where is this year's?!
> 
> > 
> 
> > We are through most of this year's North Atlantic hurricane season (see 
> 
> > http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/ for the frequency plot vs day of year) and 
> 
> > there's no big hurricane in sight. You can see on this plot (scroll down a bit 
> 
> > to get to it) that hurricane season is pretty much over. The odds for hurricanes 
> 
> > now are pretty slim. 
> 
> > 
> 
> > Yes, we might get more and bigger hurricanes in the future, but were not up to 
> 
> > annual "Sandy's" yet.
> 
> > 
> 
> > (Wunderground's current "anniversary review" of Sandy can be found at 
> 
> > http://classic.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2566 )
> 
> > 
> 
> > Recall that 2004 and 2005 were very active years, but things have been very 
> 
> > mellow since, except for Irene and Sandy. Back in 2005 or so people were saying 
> 
> > "the sky is falling" type stuff. This is the new norm. Hi-frequency higher-
> 
> > powered hurricanes. And what did we get? A lull. A big lull.
> 
> > 
> 
> 
> 
> "The sky is falling" sells advertising space and time.  "A big lull" does
> 
> not.
> 
> 
> 
> The next "big one" is asteroids.  They have been out there longer than man
> 
> has been on this planet.  All of a sudden they are all steering towards us.
> 
> Must be the Goa'uld.
> 
> 
> 
> bill
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> > You can check hurricane archives for yourselves at 
> 
> > http://classic.wunderground.com/hurricane/hurrarchive.asp or 
> 
> > 
> 
> > Here's the peak year, 2005:  http://classic.wunderground.com/hurricane/at2005.asp
> 
> > 
> 
> > From there you can easily go forward or backward through the years.
> 
> > 
> 
> > AEF 
> 
> 
> 
> -- 
> 
> Bill Gunshannon          |  de-moc-ra-cy (di mok' ra see) n.  Three wolves
> 
> billg999 at cs.scranton.edu |  and a sheep voting on what's for dinner.
> 
> University of Scranton   |
> 
> Scranton, Pennsylvania   |         #include <std.disclaimer.h>

Point well taken.

How about "A _really_ big lull"? (^_^)

Anyway, with meteors and asteroids: The last earth-altering one hit about 65 
million years ago and wiped out the dinosaurs. You've also got your "Meteor 
Crater" in Arizona. Had that one hit a city -- well -- pretty bad news. You've 
also got the 1908 Tunguska asteroid (or whatever it was -- not sure how certain 
that is), and the recent one in Russia.

Still, your point is well taken. We'll most likely be okay for decades, or even 
centuries to come. But it can't hurt to keep an eye to the sky -- well, 
depending on the cost, of course.

And there will be more big storms -- just not every year like many people 
predicted (Andrew Cuomo, and a few in this NG). Probably more often than 
before, though. I don't think a storm like Sandy has hit the East Coast for a long time, if ever. 

OK.

AEF